Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000040 0.000042 0.000045 0.000047 0.000050 0.000053 0.000057
2025-07-27 0.000036 0.000040 0.000043 0.000048 0.000053 0.000058 0.000064
2025-08-03 0.000034 0.000038 0.000043 0.000048 0.000055 0.000062 0.000071
2025-08-10 0.000033 0.000037 0.000043 0.000049 0.000057 0.000066 0.000078
2025-08-17 0.000030 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000057 0.000067 0.000080
2025-08-24 0.000028 0.000033 0.000039 0.000047 0.000056 0.000067 0.000082
2025-08-31 0.000028 0.000033 0.000039 0.000047 0.000058 0.000071 0.000089
2025-09-07 0.000027 0.000032 0.000039 0.000047 0.000059 0.000073 0.000093
2025-09-14 0.000025 0.000030 0.000037 0.000046 0.000057 0.000072 0.000094
2025-09-21 0.000024 0.000029 0.000036 0.000044 0.000056 0.000072 0.000094
2025-09-28 0.000022 0.000028 0.000034 0.000043 0.000055 0.000071 0.000095
2025-10-05 0.000021 0.000026 0.000033 0.000042 0.000054 0.000071 0.000095
2025-10-12 0.000020 0.000025 0.000032 0.000041 0.000054 0.000071 0.000097
2025-10-19 0.000020 0.000025 0.000032 0.000041 0.000055 0.000074 0.000103
2025-10-26 0.000019 0.000025 0.000032 0.000042 0.000056 0.000077 0.000109
2025-11-02 0.000019 0.000024 0.000032 0.000042 0.000058 0.000080 0.000117
2025-11-09 0.000018 0.000024 0.000031 0.000041 0.000057 0.000080 0.000118
2025-11-16 0.000017 0.000023 0.000030 0.000040 0.000056 0.000079 0.000119
2025-11-23 0.000017 0.000022 0.000030 0.000041 0.000058 0.000083 0.000127
2025-11-30 0.000017 0.000022 0.000030 0.000041 0.000058 0.000085 0.000132
2025-12-07 0.000016 0.000021 0.000028 0.000040 0.000057 0.000084 0.000131
2025-12-14 0.000015 0.000020 0.000027 0.000038 0.000056 0.000083 0.000131
2025-12-21 0.000014 0.000019 0.000026 0.000037 0.000054 0.000081 0.000130